September28, 2008:
The 3,300 EU peacekeepers are
unable to protect all 500,000 refugees along the Sudan border. The peacekeepers
don't have enough troops or helicopters to patrol, much less pacify, the area. In
effect, the European peacekeepers in Eastern Chad are but a few ink spots on a
huge canvas (over 300,000 square kilometers) that is the eastern border region
with Sudan. The 1,500 kilometer long frontier is mostly desert and brush, with
the refugees in twelve major camps, and many more smaller, and often improvised
ones. The peacekeepers have to devote considerable resources to defending
themselves, and their own bases. The local bandits know the terrain, give the
peacekeepers a wide berth, and continue plundering the foreign aid efforts. The
NGOs continue holding press conferences denouncing the failure of foreign nations
to police eastern Chad and pacify the area, It's a wilderness of good
intentions and failure.
The UN wants
to replace the EU troops with 6,000 UN peacekeepers. Few countries want to send
troops to Chad, and the EU mandate ends in six months. The Chadian government
is largely concerned with defending the oil (which is in the south, less than
200 kilometers from the Cameroon border), and the 1,070 kilometers long oil
pipeline (that is mostly in Cameroon, where it takes nearly 200,000 barrels a
day to the sea.)
September
16, 2008: A UN trained police force, the
DIS (Détachement intégré de sécurité) began patrols in eastern Chad. The force
is currently on 320 strong, with another 500 men beginning training. The
current 320 men of the DIS are not sufficient to cover much of the eastern
border area. That would require over 5,000 police, and that number won't be
ready for 5-10 years (at the current rate that DIS recruits are being trained.)
September
13, 2008: Sudan and Chad have resumed
diplomatic relations. The two countries appear to have stopped supporting and
encouraging rebels across the border. But many of these rebel groups are basically
bandits who will take money from anyone, and continue to raid refugee camps and
NGO aid groups (who run the camps) inside Chad.
September 9,
2008: The World Bank has withdrawn
financing for a pipeline used to export Chad's newly found oil. This is the
result of a failed agreement with the Chad government, whereby most of the oil
profits would go for projects that would improve living conditions for the
worst off segments of the population. The government has repeatedly breached
this agreement by diverting money to buy weapons and bribe people to support
the current government. This is what usually happens in poor countries, where
governments tend to use whatever money they can get, to keep themselves in
power. Chad is now receiving over a billion dollars a year in oil revenues and,
as is usually the case when this kind of cash comes to a poor nation, the few
men with power and guns want to keep most of this money for themselves. The
World Bank was unable to break this pattern, and has withdrawn from the oil
project. That said, at this point, the World Bank is no longer needed. The
government snookered the World Bank, but will continue doing business with the
World Bank on other projects.